It was on 24th March .. 8.00 PM the nation had a high heart beat as the Prime Minister of India was planning to address the nation. I had an expectation that the Lock down on the Covid-19 will be continued for a week, but it was a bold decision to move the curfew to 21 days. sss
Even though there are so much uncertainties that is to be addressed i trust the govt mechanism has the highest priority to control the mass spread and reduce the mortality. This 21 day curfew in India and also in many parts of the world will make all the lawmakers, public to be more responsible and corrections will happen in many areas like health care policies, Emergency response,Economy etc. As i am tracking the day wise impact of corona for India here are my observation.
You can see here the way in which it was spreading, till mid of March impacted people totally in India was 141, this is not the correct picture as there were many people with travel history but ignoring all the precaution that were given by government on self quarantine, hiding travel history etc. Government also failed to seal them for self quarantine as it is doing now. As on 25th march there have been15,24,266 Passengers screened at airport ( Source https://www.mohfw.gov.in/index.html). And during the same period the awareness with the public was very less and many were making fun on the Virus, Floating jokes, memes, passing racist comments etc. And the state governments excluding Tamilnadu,Keralal,Karanataka others were not serious. That was the reason the rate of spread in these states is under control but other is not.
Example: Kerala exposed its first case on end January and till date it has 100 cases. Tamilnadu immediately reacted and till date it has 16 ( as borders were closed early) Karnataka is now with 41 cases with amount of inflow on foreigners this is very much in control But other states which took it lighter is now moving to Firefighting mode.
As i read the pattern if we continue to have 2 digit report every day i trust we are in control, if we move to 3 digits on daily reported cases then we are in heavy danger mode.
And surely this lock down will control the spread not to nil but surely will avoid mass scale transmission. As we know all metros, Buses, Trains , Public transports which are primary mode of transport is now stopped and also the public gathering.
Source: https://www.mohfw.gov.in/index.html (Only source i rely) Observations: It is my personal observation
Do leave your comments and what you foresee for next 21 days.
I trust that this will be the first impact that alteast 2-3 generations would have seen for the First time. Todays Speech of the PrimeMinister resonates the need of the Hour. Today is March 19 and India is fighting to contain the Covid 19 to stay on Stage 2 and not move to Next Stage. As a country with 130 crores of population it is important to contain this in Stage 2 only. If it moves to Stage III then it will become endless for us. The awareness levels is improving at urban / metro as there is more Import cases. But still the rural india is on its own pace with many opinion on the virus, treatment etc. Hope the Upcoming days will level this gap.
Stages of Pandemic:
How Fast it Spreads?
Kindly see the graph on the left side, you can see the spike is very steep. The rate on which it is moving is very high. I still remember there was many fun on the name of this virus against the famous Beer Corona. Those were days when people were not aware of the impact and were considering it to be a problem for china alone, but as the days moved across the scenarios changed. I see there is complete Global Lock down , many airports are shut, restrictions to fly, Mass gatherings are stopped and all this is to ensure that that Spike comes down and diminshes quickly
Global Situation:
Observation - Europe is More affected and there is complete Lock out
India Situation:
I consider people are not yet prepared for the complete Lock out and not fully serious and sensational about this Issue. When many people are reacting there are still incidents that are happening on the mass gathering by Political Parties,Functions, Agitation etc. It is now very important to maintain the social distancing(New term).
Vacciane: Still clinical trails are in progress and no official news in the WHO / Govt of India.
My original plan was to go for a Off Road cycling by taking bike for rent on Saturday evening, but my work was only over by 8.30 PM and i was aware that @revolution bike store is closed by then, so i didn't call them back. But as i reached back my guest house, my friends ajay was asking me about the cycling trip as he is now getting hooked for the cycling. ( Previous week we went on the Canal Ride). So i called to Rahul and check if he had some slot and luckily he said he can accommodate Us. So both of us planned to start @ 5.15 to reach the Bike store early in the morning. This time i was saved by my wake up call @ 5.00 Am and managed to reach the Bike store @ 5.35 expecting that we will be last to reach. But surprised (Actually Normal) saw only few people making registration.The regular registration,Bike check , Intro was done for route and safety . From the revolution bike store we reached the SG Highway > Sindhu Bhavan Road > Gotila Garden> SP Ring Road and reach the Shilaj Road. Until you cross this you will be on a high traffic area and once you take the Left turn on the Shilaj Road then you will find less traffic and not much heavy vehicles are on the Road. It was a a pleasant morning so weather was perfect and it was around 6.30 when we were crossing this places. Was happy to see some of the fellow cyclist and runner on the road. I reached the Canal and this time there was waterflowing and it was very scenic to watch the fog on the water.
As i was waiting for Ajay to reach then we started together. The road post this place is not smooth because of the recent monsoon but was fair enough to drive even on roadie. There were many peacock and peahens which were singing and dancing on the fields. Surely if my DSLR would have been there , it would have been delight of the lenses. I kept pedaling enjoying the outskirts of Ahmadabad and also some quick chat with fellow riders. After a little long drive we reached the kadi Road and and took left and nearly after 1 Km we found a Cyclist with Flat tyre and the support vehicle was already on the job to get them back to roads. We need to take a narrow road from here to reach the bird sanctuary and both sides of this road was like Green Carpets and it actuallytook back me to my own place were it is fully surrounded by farmland and water bodies.
When i reached there were already fellow cyclists and also the support crew ready with some energizing bars, Hydration etc. It was good to have a quick bite and met some new friends there and sharing their cycling experience and also about the place and the sanctuary. For more details about the Thol Sanctuary is Click Here !! But i have already that this a huge lake with trees spread in midst of the water, which actually helps the birds to halt during their migratory season for resting, and also some of them stay back and build their Nest around this trees. The birds find it comfortable as there is not much of disturbances from the external elements. So round the year we will find many birds in such places and specific species only during the migratory season.
I missed the group photo as was busy walking around the lake. As the sun was starting to come up every one started their ride back and me too joined the band. AS we followed the same route , the return was not much interesting but i enjoyed the ride and made some pits stops to watch the peacocks and lakes.
Look like this place is perfect for a Night Camping. Need to check the possibility soon and next one to be planned is the Nal Sarovar Bird Sanctuary !!
Happy to add one more cycling to my below previous trips
Finally the Day 10 is on ...and this is kind of a back to back running. As i have to complete my last running on sunday evening and starting my next day run on this Monday morning. But of all this 10 days this days is the amazing one !! As i end this series surely the next one needs to be little longer in distance and days is what my mind says !!!
# Running - A Long after small steps.
Not many will start enjoying the running in initial days as it is going to be tough to manage the initial days. As all your things should get placed in order which includes your body accepting this strain, Your time being adjusted by the work, family, personal spend etc.
But surely i can say in confidence that it is just matter of days and week for any of the above constraints to fall in place and you sill start enjoying the run and the benefits will be very explicitly exposed to you by yourself and also by others.
Many days there is going to be war as you get up from the bed between the watch and your shoe. Whenever your shoe wins , you will be on the track or road or field running some distance. You will find yourself more organized in time, diet and planning also. As more planning is required as you grow up in the running regime. You need to plan your trainings, You need to plan your events accordingly you need to plan your event and for every event you need to plan your travel, stay like this. This will actually help you organized. This long journey gives many benefits for yourself and also indirectly for people around you also. All the above can only be experienced if you have not picked your running gear i bet do pick a one and catch you after your 10 X10 Series !! Happy Running.