Tuesday, March 24, 2020

Covid-19 - Lock Day 1

Covid-19 - Lock Day 1


It  was on 24th March .. 8.00 PM the nation had a high heart beat as the Prime Minister of India was planning to  address the nation. I had an expectation that the Lock down on the Covid-19 will be continued for a week, but it was a bold decision to move the curfew to 21 days. sss




             Even though there are so much uncertainties that is to be addressed i trust the govt mechanism has the highest priority to control the  mass spread and reduce the mortality.
This 21 day curfew in India and also in many parts of the world will make all the lawmakers, public to be more responsible and corrections will happen in many areas like health care policies, Emergency response,Economy etc.

As i am tracking the day wise impact of corona for India here are my observation.

 



                                    You can see here the way in which it was spreading, till mid of March impacted people totally in India was 141, this is not the correct picture as there were many people with travel history but ignoring all the precaution that were given by government on self quarantine, hiding travel history etc. 
                                   Government also failed to seal them for self quarantine as it is doing  now. As on 25th march  there have been15,24,266 Passengers screened at airport ( Source https://www.mohfw.gov.in/index.html). And during the same period the awareness with the public was very less and many were making fun on the Virus, Floating jokes, memes, passing racist comments etc.  And the state governments excluding Tamilnadu,Keralal,Karanataka others were not serious. That was the reason the rate of spread in these states is under control but other is not.

Example:
Kerala exposed its first case on end January and till date it has 100 cases.
Tamilnadu immediately reacted and till date it has 16 ( as borders were closed early)
Karnataka is now with 41 cases with amount of inflow on foreigners this is very much in control

But other states which took it lighter is now moving to Firefighting mode.
                                             

                                  As i read the pattern if we continue to have 2 digit report every day i trust we are in control, if we move to 3 digits on daily reported cases then we are in heavy danger mode. 

                                And surely this lock down will control the spread not to nil but surely will avoid mass scale transmission. As we know all metros, Buses, Trains , Public transports which are primary mode of transport is now stopped and also the public gathering.

Source: https://www.mohfw.gov.in/index.html (Only source i rely)
Observations: It is my personal observation 

Do leave your comments and what you foresee for next 21 days.




1 comment:

Unknown said...

Statistics gives true scenario nd makes it an eye opening